Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 7.449844 8.692895 10.033838 11.582514 13.316201 15.191601 17.367970
2025-04-13 5.900984 7.507974 9.357749 11.625938 14.312700 17.373931 21.104590
2025-04-20 4.987557 6.826233 9.059728 11.933934 15.492987 19.712597 25.047029
2025-04-27 4.279550 6.255253 8.772638 12.150661 16.493951 21.816490 28.749967
2025-05-04 3.645130 5.671141 8.370744 12.134995 17.141417 23.458623 31.905525
2025-05-11 2.962625 4.917363 7.643880 11.594598 17.026750 24.077887 33.744207
2025-05-18 2.517667 4.435497 7.224073 11.405493 17.324884 25.198535 36.224471
2025-05-25 2.127621 3.978855 6.783462 11.130993 17.459245 26.072842 38.376536
2025-06-01 1.833222 3.630034 6.460008 10.984407 17.740083 27.128997 40.780388
2025-06-08 1.552924 3.263516 6.067345 10.691873 17.774453 27.821500 42.684824
2025-06-15 1.387758 3.072319 5.930356 10.770955 18.344023 29.271325 45.668970
2025-06-22 1.216745 2.845527 5.709837 10.694663 18.663325 30.359392 48.161358
2025-06-29 1.097902 2.702642 5.619733 10.823546 19.305237 31.945241 51.427001
2025-07-06 0.991833 2.569290 5.531739 10.944782 19.933265 33.523924 54.720962
2025-07-13 0.926130 2.509334 5.568181 11.273925 20.899892 35.633727 58.844086
2025-07-20 0.853133 2.422884 5.546240 11.496729 21.698388 37.507162 62.660954
2025-07-27 0.760765 2.278856 5.400562 11.488530 22.111415 38.795148 65.629403
2025-08-03 0.626690 2.013932 4.991324 10.974168 21.648981 38.698642 66.493056
2025-08-10 0.542770 1.854495 4.775201 10.794407 21.735946 39.456642 68.666467
2025-08-17 0.462574 1.688421 4.526526 10.532250 21.661632 39.945946 70.426923
2025-08-24 0.402054 1.562588 4.349415 10.392219 21.788863 40.755976 72.697987
2025-08-31 0.339587 1.416954 4.111440 10.112464 21.648298 41.116338 74.260433
2025-09-07 0.307034 1.353532 4.053241 10.188151 22.150136 42.546406 77.549770